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NOAA Climate Prediction Center — 1 page

Reference El Nino Winter 2026-27 — NOAA Puts Very Strong Event Above 90%, With a 69% Chance of a Record Since 1950 NOAA's Aug. 13, 2026 ENSO discussion keeps an El Nino Advisory in effect and gives a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event in fall and winter 2026-27. Science · Aug 31